TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points will be scored by both teams combined in the final quarter of a football game. Bettors predict whether the total points will exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of difficulty and potential payout.
These markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the 4th quarter of the specified football game, excluding any overtime periods. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to resolve as 'Yes'. If the combined score of both teams in the 4th quarter exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets exclusively consider points scored during regulation time of the 4th quarter, with overtime points excluded from calculation. The game in question is the Cleveland Browns versus the Jacksonville Jaguars match officially scheduled for September 13, 2026.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often providing a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially have a strong opinion, this market can adapt more quickly to changing circumstances and potentially offer more accurate probabilities as the game approaches.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 4th quarter of the Browns-Jaguars game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored in the fourth quarter will be tallied, and the market will settle based on whether that total exceeds the predetermined threshold. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be publicly available shortly after the game's conclusion, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Browns or the Jaguars would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. In-game performance during the first three quarters – if one team establishes a dominant lead or if the game remains closely contested – will heavily influence expectations for the fourth quarter and, consequently, the price of this market.