TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the third quarter of an upcoming football game between the Cleveland Browns and the Jacksonville Jaguars. It captures the competitive performance of both teams during a specific segment of the match, highlighting the potential for shifts in momentum that can occur within a single quarter.
The market resolves based on which team scores the most points during the third quarter of the specified Cleveland Browns vs. Jacksonville Jaguars game. If Jacksonville scores the highest points in that quarter, the 'Jacksonville wins 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If Cleveland scores the highest points, the 'Cleveland wins 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of points, the 'Tie 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes, and all team-specific markets resolve to No. Points counted are exclusively those scored during the third quarter, with no consideration given to other quarters' performance.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell. If a significant number of people believe one team is more likely to win the third quarter than sportsbooks suggest, the price for that outcome will move in that direction. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations of team performance and potential game strategies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly posting bids (what they’re willing to pay to buy ‘yes’ to a particular outcome) and asks (what they’re willing to accept to sell ‘yes’). The current price reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices will adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Browns-Jaguars 3rd quarter.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by which team – the Browns or the Jaguars – has the higher score at the end of the third quarter of the game. The official game results will be used to verify the winner of the third quarter, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Browns or the Jaguars would likely cause significant movement. Changes in the weather forecast, particularly if it’s expected to impact the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. In-game performance during the first and second quarters, such as a dominant offensive showing by one team, could also lead to traders adjusting their positions and impacting the price of this market before its resolution.