TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:07 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting whether one team will outscore the other by a specific margin in a single quarter of a football game. The outcomes depend entirely on the point differential between the two teams during that specific quarter of play.
All markets resolve based solely on the point difference between the Cleveland Browns and the Jacksonville Jaguars during the second quarter of their scheduled game on September 13, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning team's margin of victory: markets 1-5 cover Jaguars wins by margins greater than 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, and 2.5 points respectively, while markets 6-10 cover Browns wins by margins greater than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, and 10.5 points respectively. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward resolving these markets. If the winning team meets or exceeds the specified margin, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets operate independently, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately regardless of other outcomes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and often align with, but can diverge from, traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, they can take a position in this market, driving the price away from the sportsbook's initial offering. It’s common to see differences, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Browns-Jaguars 2nd quarter spread.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Browns-Jaguars 2nd quarter spread. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective prediction. Currently, the most active contracts indicate a strong expectation for a specific point differential in the second quarter, but this can change rapidly based on trading activity.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the 2nd quarter of the Browns-Jaguars game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the game’s governing body. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will receive nothing. The final spread will be the determining factor for payout, and all data will be verified against reliable sources.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Browns or the Jaguars would likely impact predictions. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team’s playing style, could also shift the market. Additionally, any significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by pre-game analysis or expert opinions, could influence trading activity and alter the price of contracts related to the Browns-Jaguars 2nd quarter spread. Unexpected news about coaching strategies could also play a role.