TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both teams in the second half of a football game. Bettors assess whether the combined scoring will exceed various thresholds, reflecting expectations about offensive performance and game momentum in the latter stages of play.
These markets determine whether the combined points scored by the Cleveland Browns and Jacksonville Jaguars in the second half (excluding overtime) of their Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. Each market features a different threshold, ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. If the total points scored in the second half surpass the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the second half of regulation time, with overtime points excluded from calculation. The thresholds progressively increase, allowing participants to bet on various levels of scoring intensity in the game’s final half.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. While sportsbooks may initially have different odds, they often adjust closer to the prediction market price as the event approaches, especially when there’s significant volume. It's common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities, particularly when there is strong disagreement with initial sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded and those with inaccurate views risk losing money. The current price is determined by the forces of supply and demand, constantly adjusting as new information becomes available and traders update their assessments of the Browns-Jaguars second half total.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the second half of the Browns-Jaguars game will be used to determine whether the total points scored were over or under the specified threshold. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be publicly available. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment. The market’s resolution is independent of any individual opinion or subjective judgment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Browns or the Jaguars would likely have a significant impact, as this affects scoring potential. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also shift expectations. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before or during the game could also move the market. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi from informed traders could signal a shift in sentiment and cause the price to fluctuate.