TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 1:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will lead after the first quarter of a professional football game between the Cleveland Browns and the Jacksonville Jaguars. It evaluates the performance of both teams in the initial 15 minutes of play, highlighting early-game momentum and strategy.
If Jacksonville wins the 1st Quarter of the CLE Browns vs JAC Jaguars Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cleveland wins the 1st Quarter of the CLE Browns vs JAC Jaguars Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st Quarter of the CLE Browns vs JAC Jaguars Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe one team is more likely to win the first quarter than sportsbooks suggest, the price for that outcome will move favorably for buyers. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a specific team, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if their chosen team wins the first quarter.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the winner of the first quarter of the Browns versus Jaguars game will determine the payout. The official NFL game results will be used to verify the winning team. The platform will then automatically settle the contracts based on which team achieved the lead after the first 15 minutes of play. No further action is required from participants once the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Browns or the Jaguars would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact the market. Late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions might also shift trader sentiment. Finally, public perception and any major betting trends observed elsewhere could contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders react to new information.