TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 1:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points the Cleveland Browns and Jacksonville Jaguars score together in the first quarter of their upcoming game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to resolve as 'Yes'. Only points scored in the first quarter count, regardless of the final game outcome.
These markets evaluate whether the combined first-quarter scoring by both teams exceeds specified thresholds. Each market features a unique point total requirement, ranging from just over 3.5 points to more than 24.5 points. Resolution depends solely on the aggregate points scored during the first quarter of play, with no consideration given to the final game result or points scored in later quarters. All markets operate independently, meaning each threshold must be met or exceeded for its respective 'Yes' outcome to trigger.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin, whereas this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of different outcomes. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply the collective insight of prediction market participants. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe the total will be high, the price of contracts representing a higher total will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the latest information and collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total points scored in the first quarter of the Browns versus Jaguars game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the source for this information. Traders who correctly predicted the first quarter total will receive a payout based on the final price of their contracts at resolution. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries to either the Browns or Jaguars would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any pre-game analysis or reports suggesting a shift in team strategy or offensive/defensive matchups could influence trader behavior. Public sentiment and betting trends in traditional sportsbooks can also indirectly impact this market, as traders react to broader information flows.