TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 2:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various scoring thresholds for the first half of a football game between two teams. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring performance, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of the combined points exceeding specific benchmarks.
These markets determine whether the total points scored by both the Cleveland Browns and the Jacksonville Jaguars during the first half of their game scheduled for September 13, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. Each market corresponds to a different point threshold, ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. If the combined score meets or surpasses the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored in the first half count toward these outcomes, ensuring that the evaluation is strictly based on the initial 30 minutes of play. The markets are independent, allowing for multiple thresholds to be assessed simultaneously.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a margin for profit, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If sportsbook odds suggest a strong likelihood of a particular result, you might see a corresponding higher price for that outcome in this market, but differences can emerge due to varying information and perspectives. It's common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first half total score from the Browns-Jaguars game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final, official score as recorded by the league, and the market will settle to determine whether the total points scored in the first half were over or under the relevant threshold. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before game time. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Browns or the Jaguars would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as public betting patterns observed at sportsbooks, could all contribute to movement in this market. Unexpected shifts in public sentiment could also play a role.