TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 12:02 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes "All Critics" Tomatometer score for Clayface is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on October 26, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to "No" if no data is available by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes "All Critics" Tomatometer score for Clayface is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on October 26, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to "No" if no data is available by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Currently, the prediction market odds reflect a collective assessment of the potential Rotten Tomatoes score for Clayface. These odds represent what traders believe, based on available information, and can differ from initial analyst forecasts. It’s common to see discrepancies between pre-release predictions from film critics and the wisdom of the crowd as expressed in this market. This is because the market incorporates a wider range of factors and updates continuously as new information becomes available, potentially leading to a more accurate overall prediction than a single analyst’s estimate.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing different Rotten Tomatoes score ranges for Clayface. The price of each share reflects the probability of that score range occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus view. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Rotten Tomatoes score for Clayface is publicly available and verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to the score range that contains the final, certified score as reported by Rotten Tomatoes. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, reflecting the actual critical reception of the film. Traders should monitor the official Rotten Tomatoes website as the resolution date approaches for the final score.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Early reviews from film festivals or pre-release screenings will likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Positive or negative buzz on social media, particularly from influential film critics and reviewers, could also move the market. Trailer releases, interviews with the cast and director, and any news regarding production quality or story changes could all influence trader sentiment and, consequently, the prices in this market. Any major marketing pushes or unexpected controversies could also play a role.