TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.4b
24H VOL:
$104,871,197
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,643,541,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,592,701,755
469,827
Markets across
35,657
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,899
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Above 45
- Kalshi
Above 45 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 26, 2026
Time left: 11d:09h:20m
Clayface Rotten Tomatoes score?
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Description
The Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score reflects aggregated critic reviews, providing a snapshot of critical reception for films. Higher scores indicate stronger approval from reviewers, serving as a gauge for audience interest and media buzz.
Kalshi
All markets resolve based on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score for the film Clayface as published on October 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Each market has a specific threshold: if the score exceeds the designated value (e.g., above 45, above 50, etc.), that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The determination occurs the Monday following the film's wide release. For all markets, scores must strictly surpass the threshold—equaling the threshold results in a No outcome. The "Fresh!" and "Certified Fresh!" labels are illustrative and do not affect resolution logic.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a broader set of inputs, including crowd sentiment and real-time trading activity. Analysts may focus on critical reviews and historical performance, while traders react to news, early viewer reactions, and social media trends. This can lead to divergence, especially before the film’s release when new information emerges. Tracking both sources helps identify potential shifts in market sentiment.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds based on their expectations for the film's Rotten Tomatoes score, with prices adjusting dynamically through buying and selling contracts. The top outcome currently holds a chance of 97.0%, reflecting the aggregate view of all participants. Volume of $252,276 indicates liquidity and interest, while price history shows how market sentiment has evolved over time.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the film’s Rotten Tomatoes score is officially reported by credible public sources. The final score, based on verified critic reviews, will determine which market outcome is settled. Timing depends on when the platform confirms the data, typically shortly after the score is publicly released.
Key signals that could shift this market include early reviews, trailer reactions, social media buzz, and any major news about the film’s reception or controversies. Announcements from the production team, changes in release strategy, or unexpected events like award nominations can also influence trader sentiment. As the release date approaches, real-time updates and media coverage will most strongly impact market prices.
