TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 1:28 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Ciugureanu Valeriu and Bulat Alexandru in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for September 27 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ciugureanu Valeriu' if Ciugureanu Valeriu wins against Bulat Alexandru. This market will resolve to 'Bulat Alexandru' if Bulat Alexandru wins against Ciugureanu Valeriu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Ciugureanu Valeriu and Bulat Alexandru in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for September 27 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ciugureanu Valeriu' if Ciugureanu Valeriu wins against Bulat Alexandru. This market will resolve to 'Bulat Alexandru' if Bulat Alexandru wins against Ciugureanu Valeriu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, this market may show a different probability for a particular outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been wagered on either side, as the market adjusts to new information and opinions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. As more shares are traded, the price of those shares adjusts, reflecting the collective sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a 'yes' share, for example, indicates the market’s estimated chance of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds closely align with the aggregated predictions of all participants on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ciugureanu vs. Bulat match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either Ciugureanu or Bulat would likely have a significant impact, as would updates on their recent performance or training. Changes in public perception, potentially driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could also shift the market. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes could also introduce volatility. Ultimately, any new information that alters the perceived probability of either athlete winning will likely move this market.