TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 1:34 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Ciubinidze Miroslav and Ursu Sergiu in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for September 16 at 11:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ciubinidze Miroslav' if Ciubinidze Miroslav wins against Ursu Sergiu. This market will resolve to 'Ursu Sergiu' if Ursu Sergiu wins against Ciubinidze Miroslav. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Ciubinidze Miroslav and Ursu Sergiu in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for September 16 at 11:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ciubinidze Miroslav' if Ciubinidze Miroslav wins against Ursu Sergiu. This market will resolve to 'Ursu Sergiu' if Ursu Sergiu wins against Ciubinidze Miroslav. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides and ensure profitability. This market, however, allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism driven by supply and demand. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the varying motivations of participants—sportsbooks seek profit, while prediction market traders aim for accurate predictions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Ciubinidze vs. Ursu match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in a particular outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, offering a real-time assessment of the probability of each player winning. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing perceptions.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ciubinidze vs. Ursu match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market prices at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several signals or events could influence this market before Sep 23, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could impact perceived probabilities and shift trading activity. Unexpected announcements about player form, or significant changes in public sentiment driven by expert analysis, could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create momentum and trigger further price movements, reflecting a change in overall market confidence regarding the Ciubinidze vs. Ursu match.