TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 18, 11:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an esports match between two teams competing in a professional League of Legends tournament. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the scheduled match. Any changes to the match timeline, such as delays or cancellations, are managed through specific fairness conditions.
If CITA Kaizen wins the Hitpoint Masters 2026: CITA Kaizen vs. NightBirds League of Legends match originally scheduled for Aug 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If NightBirds wins the Hitpoint Masters 2026: CITA Kaizen vs. NightBirds League of Legends match originally scheduled for Aug 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors like historical performance and public betting trends, prediction markets focus purely on the likelihood of outcomes as priced by participants. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities, especially if market participants have access to unique information or analysis. Traders should compare this market’s current chance against sportsbook odds to identify potential value, keeping in mind that prediction markets often update more dynamically based on real-time trading activity and new data.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, reflecting their collective view of team performance potential. The top outcome’s chance percentage shows what the market thinks is most likely, while the spread indicates how tightly contested the prediction is. Volume of $33,695 over 24 hours helps gauge engagement, and price shifts often follow key announcements or performance updates.
This market resolves around Aug 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect the official match outcome as reported by recognized sports authorities, ending all trading activity. Until then, any official updates — such as lineups, injuries, or game events — may cause price swings as traders adjust their expectations.
Several key signals could impact this market before Aug 18, 2026. Performance metrics such as recent match results, player injuries, or changes in team strategy may shift trader expectations. Media coverage and expert analysis leading up to the event can also influence sentiment. Additionally, any last-minute roster changes or unexpected developments in the league might cause rapid adjustments in pricing. Traders should monitor news feeds, team announcements, and betting trends to anticipate potential movements in this market as the resolution date approaches.