TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 9:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This MLS soccer match between Cincinnati and Vancouver on July 22, 2026 will be evaluated based on how many goals each team scores during regulation time. Bettors can wager on whether Cincinnati or Vancouver will exceed specific goal thresholds (0.5, 1.5, or 2.5 goals) by the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Resolution is based on official goal tallies recorded during the Cincinnati vs Vancouver professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for July 22, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). Each team's scoring is evaluated independently against three threshold levels: above 0.5 goals, above 1.5 goals, and above 2.5 goals. Own goals count toward the team awarded the goal by official record. The evaluation period is strictly the regulation 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee; any additional time beyond this window does not factor into resolution.
Prediction market odds reflect real-money trader conviction and often diverge meaningfully from traditional analyst forecasts. While sports analysts rely on models, injury reports, and historical trends, this market prices in live trader sentiment and incorporates new information rapidly. Comparing the current odds to published expert projections can reveal where the crowd sees value or risk that analysts may have missed. Prediction markets tend to aggregate dispersed information efficiently, making them a useful benchmark alongside conventional sports analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-matching between buyers and sellers. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders place limit and market orders to express their views on the team total outcome, and the platform's matching engine executes trades at the best available price. Prices move dynamically as new orders arrive and existing positions shift, reflecting the collective forecast of all active participants. The bid-ask spread tightens or widens based on trading volume and conviction levels among the participant base.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the Cincinnati vs Vancouver event concludes and the final team total is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the combined points scored by both teams during regulation play. Resolution occurs after official scoring is confirmed and any necessary reviews are completed. Traders holding positions at resolution will see their contracts settled based on whether the actual total falls above or below the strike price established at market creation.
Key injury announcements, roster changes, and recent team performance trends can shift odds significantly in this market. Weather conditions on game day, travel schedules, and back-to-back game fatigue may also influence scoring expectations. Unexpected lineup adjustments or coaching decisions announced shortly before tipoff often trigger sharp price moves. Additionally, early-game scoring pace and momentum swings during the match itself can prompt traders to adjust positions, causing the market to reprrice as new information becomes available.