TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 11:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming professional soccer match between Cincinnati and San Jose. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of various scoring outcomes. The resolution depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty kicks.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Cincinnati vs San Jose professional MLS soccer game scheduled for August 1, 2026, counted after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, but explicitly excluding any goals scored during extra time or penalty kicks. Each market has a specific numerical threshold (ranging from 0.5 to 5.5 goals) and resolves to 'Yes' if the total goals exceed that threshold. The secondary rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the league and that all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners. The outcome of each market is determined exclusively by the regular-time score, with no consideration given to post-match events or tie-breaking procedures.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced view of probabilities because they are set by a broader range of participants who can trade at any time. While sportsbooks may adjust their lines less frequently and incorporate their own margins, prediction markets let traders react instantly to new information, potentially creating tighter or more divergent pricing depending on recent events and shifting expectations.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous trading, with the current top outcome reflecting the aggregate expectations of all participants. The chance percentage shown represents what the market collectively believes is the likelihood of that specific result occurring. As new data emerges — such as player injuries or weather conditions — the pricing can shift rapidly based on trader activity and sentiment.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final tallies from the official match will determine which side wins, and the market will close shortly after the game concludes. Traders should ensure they have their positions finalized before the resolution window closes.
Injuries to key players, weather updates affecting game conditions, and shifts in team form leading up to the match could all move this market. Any major news — such as lineup changes or coaching decisions — may cause traders to adjust their positions, impacting the odds. Additionally, broader betting trends or large trades on Kalshi can also create momentum and shift pricing in the final days before Aug 2, 2026.