TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 11:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates the offensive performance of both teams in an upcoming MLS soccer match between Cincinnati and San Jose. Each market assesses whether a team scores a specific number of goals, providing insight into expected scoring levels for each side. The outcomes are determined solely by the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The official rules for this event govern the resolution of multiple markets based on the number of goals scored by each team in the Cincinnati vs San Jose MLS soccer match scheduled for August 1, 2026. All markets resolve based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, with explicit exclusion of extra time or penalty shootout results. Own goals are counted toward the team to which the goal is officially awarded. Each market has a specific threshold for goal totals: Cincinnati and San Jose each have three markets assessing whether they score more than 0.5, 1.5, or 2.5 goals. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the named team exceeds its respective threshold; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The event strictly considers goals scored during standard match time, ensuring consistency across all markets.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to unique trader dynamics and betting structures. While sportsbooks set fixed lines based on analytics and risk management, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, which can lead to more volatile pricing. Traders may react faster to new information, causing odds to shift before sportsbook adjustments. Comparing both can reveal divergent insights into team performance expectations.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price through buying and selling contracts that represent possible outcomes. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate belief of participants about the likely total goals. Market depth and recent trading volume of $14,642 influence price stability, with liquidity providing a clear picture of trader confidence as the event nears. This decentralized pricing captures a broad range of opinions.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score from the official match determines whether the total goals fall above or below the set line. Once the game concludes and results are widely reported, the market settles based on this verified data, closing all positions and determining payouts for participants.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting gameplay, and coaching strategies can all shift expectations and move this market. Major news releases about team performance or lineup changes often cause rapid price adjustments. As the match date approaches, any update that influences the perceived scoring potential — from player fitness to tactical decisions — may cause traders to reassess odds and impact market movement.