TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:35 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the defensive performance of both teams in an upcoming football game by counting how many times each team successfully brings down the opposing quarterback. The outcomes depend on whether specific thresholds of tackles behind the line of scrimmage are met during the contest.
All markets resolve based on the official number of sacks recorded by each team during the Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Sacks must occur during standard play; those made during two-point conversion attempts are excluded. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each market has a distinct threshold (e.g., 2+, 3+, up to 6+) for each team, with resolution dependent on whether the team's total sacks meet or exceed that threshold.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s immediately available to sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professionals, this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs about the likely outcome. You may find that the probabilities offered here align with sportsbook lines, especially as the event approaches, but differences can emerge based on unique insights or reactions to news. It’s common to see prediction markets as a potentially more accurate indicator of event outcomes than traditional odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total number of sacks. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a particular outcome is likely, they will bid up the price of contracts representing that outcome, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of sacks in the Cincinnati versus Pittsburgh game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will determine the winning outcome. The market will settle to 100 for the outcome that matches the actual number of sacks recorded during the game, and 0 for all other outcomes. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Injury reports for key offensive linemen or defensive players on either team would be significant catalysts. Any news regarding changes in coaching strategies or defensive schemes could also shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on game day, such as strong winds or heavy rain, might impact the passing game and, consequently, the number of sacks. Furthermore, late-breaking news about player matchups or team morale could all contribute to price movements in this market before Sep 27, 2026.