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OPEN INTEREST:
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400,720
Markets across
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
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Closed: Sep 27, 4:17 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track whether Chase Brown, a Cincinnati Bengals player, will achieve specific rushing yard thresholds in an upcoming football game against Pittsburgh. The outcomes depend entirely on his performance during the match, with settlements based on official statistics.
All markets evaluate Chase Brown's rushing yard performance in the Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh game scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, resolving to Yes if he meets or exceeds the specified yardage thresholds (ranging from 40+ to 130+ yards). A key secondary rule applies uniformly: if Brown is active for the team but does not take a single snap, all markets settle at the fair market price determined before the game begins. However, once Brown takes at least one snap—regardless of whether any play is nullified by penalty—the markets resolve strictly based on the total rushing yards he records during the game. This consistent framework ensures that settlements reflect actual in-game participation and performance metrics, with Kalshi explicitly disclaiming any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of associated trademarks and branding.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their models and risk management, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news impacts expectations. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers, offering a different perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the expected rushing yardage. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the market's direction and capitalizing on price differences.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals from the Cincinnati versus Pittsburgh game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final market price will reflect the actual total rushing yards achieved during the game. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their stake. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s result.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Injury reports for key running backs on either team are significant catalysts, as are changes in weather forecasts that could affect the running game. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or offensive line changes could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any late-breaking information about player availability or team dynamics could lead to substantial price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on shifts in market sentiment.