TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various player performance thresholds in a specific football game, focusing on achieving certain receiving yard milestones. Multiple markets exist for different players and yardage targets, all evaluated within the same game context.
All markets refer to receiving yards accumulated by specified players in the Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 27, 2026. A market resolves to Yes if the named player records the specified receiving yard threshold during the game. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles based on actual receiving yards recorded. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation regardless of yardage threshold or player.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning with but sometimes diverging from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on their own analysis, incorporating factors like team statistics and player injuries. This market, however, allows anyone to trade, meaning the price can shift rapidly as new information emerges and more people participate. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome, the price on Kalshi will adjust accordingly, potentially offering a more accurate prediction than initial sportsbook offerings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yard totals, and the price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market reflects the collective belief of all participants, constantly updating as new information becomes available. The price essentially represents the probability that the final receiving yardage will fall within a given range, as determined by the traders themselves.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics from the Cincinnati versus Pittsburgh game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards for all eligible players will be tallied, and the market will settle based on which contract’s range encompasses the actual total. The platform will verify the data against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, providing a definitive outcome for all traders who participated in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either the Bengals or the Steelers would likely cause substantial price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the market, as these conditions often affect passing games. Finally, late-breaking news about defensive strategies or changes in quarterback play could shift trader sentiment and lead to fluctuations in the prices offered on Kalshi.