TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks in a specific football game, focusing on how many times they successfully connect with their receivers. The outcome depends on whether each player meets or exceeds predetermined completion thresholds during the match. Markets adjust based on player participation and in-game actions.
All markets in this event evaluate whether designated quarterbacks achieve specific passing completion thresholds during the Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each market corresponds to a particular player and minimum completion requirement (e.g., 18+, 23+, or 28+ completions for Aaron Rodgers; 19+, 24+, or 29+ completions for Joe Burrow). If a quarterback is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game begins. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the actual number of completions recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation criteria for each participant’s performance.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of team strengths and potential game outcomes. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the game draws closer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the number of passing completions. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on their own analysis and reactions to news and information, creating a dynamic and efficient pricing mechanism. The more traders believe a specific completion total is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final official passing completion statistics from the Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The number of official passing completions recorded by the official league statistics will determine the winning contract. It’s important to note that any adjustments or revisions made to the official statistics after the game will be reflected in the resolution of this market, ensuring accuracy and fairness for all participants.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause substantial movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor running or passing, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news about coaching strategies or defensive adjustments could also play a role. Finally, any late-breaking information about player availability or team dynamics could lead to significant price fluctuations in this market.