TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of passing attempts made by quarterbacks in a specific football game, allowing participants to speculate on whether certain thresholds will be met. The outcome depends entirely on in-game performance metrics, reflecting strategic interest in offensive play-calling and quarterback usage.
All markets resolve based on the total passing attempts recorded by specified quarterbacks during the Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' only if the named quarterback achieves the specified minimum number of passing attempts (31+, 36+, or 41+). If a quarterback is active for the team but does not take a single snap during the game, the market settles at its fair market price as determined immediately before kickoff. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is later nullified by penalty—the market settles definitively based on the actual passing attempts recorded during the game. These rules apply equally across all markets for both quarterbacks, with each market independently evaluating its specific attempt threshold.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to balance their risk, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many traders. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be more accurate forecasts of event outcomes than traditional betting odds. However, sportsbook odds can be a useful benchmark for understanding the initial public perception of the Bengals vs Steelers game and how it compares to the collective prediction of traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing attempt totals from the Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing attempts by both teams combined will be used to determine the winning contracts. Traders will have until the resolution time to adjust their positions based on any new information or developments leading up to the game. It’s important to monitor the market closely as the game approaches to understand how the collective prediction is evolving.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to favor either a passing or running game, could also shift trader sentiment. Pre-game reports on offensive strategies or play-calling tendencies might influence expectations for passing volume. Finally, any significant line movements in traditional sportsbooks could prompt traders to reassess their positions in this market, leading to increased volume and price fluctuations.