TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 7:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Cincinnati Reds will defeat the Pittsburgh Pirates in their Major League Baseball matchup. On Kalshi, Cincinnati is priced at 60.0% to win, while Pittsburgh stands at 38.0%. The market resolves based on the official result of the game scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT. Watch for team roster updates and injury reports leading up to first pitch on June 27, 2026, as these factors typically influence late-stage betting activity.
This event covers the Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins the game. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled entirely or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market reflects what informed traders believe will happen, which can differ meaningfully from traditional sports betting lines. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value or contrarian positioning.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous trading where buyers and sellers set the odds in real time. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract represents a claim on a specific outcome, and the price reflects the collective assessment of all active traders. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, the price adjusts dynamically. This mechanism ensures the market stays responsive and incorporates the latest available intelligence about the matchup.
This market resolves around Jun 27, 2026, once the Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh event concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official final score and result of the matchup. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell positions as new developments unfold. Resolution is automatic once the event is complete and the outcome is established.
Key catalysts include team roster changes, injury announcements, recent performance trends, and head-to-head matchup history. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and playoff implications can also shift trader sentiment significantly. Media coverage and expert analysis often trigger repricing as new perspectives reach the market. Any breaking news about player availability or team strategy could prompt rapid position adjustments before the event begins.