TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh
kalshi
predict

Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh

Volume:
$3,267,717

Cincinnati

 - Kalshi

Cincinnati - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 26, 9:44 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cincinnati

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,620,426
N/A
N/A
$711,328
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Pittsburgh

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,642,143
N/A
N/A
$852,250
Settled
No
predict

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$5,148
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks which team will win the Major League Baseball matchup between the Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates. Across Kalshi and Predict, the consensus probability stands at 58.0% for Cincinnati to emerge victorious. Both platforms resolve based on official MLB final statistics and box scores, with credible reporting consensus used if official data is unavailable within 24 hours. Watch for the game outcome on June 26, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, which will determine final settlement.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms resolve to the winner of the Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates game on June 26, 2026, using official MLB statistics as the authoritative source.Primary resolution logic: Official MLB final statistics and box score; if unavailable within 24 hours, credible reporting consensus may be used

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves to Cincinnati Reds if Cincinnati wins the game
  • Market resolves to Pittsburgh Pirates if Pittsburgh wins the game
  • If game is postponed, market remains open until the rescheduled game is completed
  • If game is canceled entirely with no makeup game, market resolves 50-50
  • If game ends in a tie, market resolves 50-50

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Market remains open and unresolved until the postponed game is played and completed
  • Cancellation with no makeup: Market resolves 50-50 split between both outcomes
  • Tie game: Market resolves 50-50 split between both outcomes
  • Delayed official statistics: If MLB does not publish final statistics within 24 hours, credible reporting consensus is used for resolution
Timing: Resolution occurs after the game concludes and official MLB statistics are published, or within 24 hours of game completion using credible reporting if official statistics are delayedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the final result of the Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for June 26 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like those tracked here reflect pure trader belief—no house edge or vig. This often means prediction market odds move faster and reflect sharper, more up-to-date information. Comparing this market's odds to your preferred sportsbook can reveal value opportunities. If one venue prices Cincinnati higher than the other, that gap may signal where informed traders see an edge.

Kalshi and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, all of which influence how prices evolve. Kalshi may draw more casual forecasters, while Predict might concentrate professional traders with deeper capital. Order flow timing, platform-specific rules, and even UI design can cause one venue to react faster to breaking news or injury reports. Monitoring both sides of this market lets you identify temporary mispricings and understand which platform's crowd is more or less confident in a given outcome.

Key catalysts include injury announcements, lineup changes, weather updates, and recent team performance trends. A star player ruled out or a surprise roster move can trigger sharp repricing across both platforms within minutes. Betting line movement at major sportsbooks often precedes prediction market shifts, so monitoring external odds can give you an early signal. Team momentum, head-to-head records, and any late-breaking news about coaching decisions or player health will all influence trader positioning. Watching this market's real-time activity helps you stay ahead of consensus shifts.