TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 10:24 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the margin of victory for either Cincinnati or Philadelphia specifically within the third quarter of their scheduled football game. Outcomes are determined solely by points scored during that quarter, isolating performance to a single segment of play.
All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the third quarter of the Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Pro Football game scheduled for August 28, 2026. Each market defines a specific point differential threshold for either team to exceed in order to resolve as 'Yes'. If Philadelphia wins the third quarter by more than the specified margin—ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points—the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Cincinnati wins the third quarter by more than the defined margin—also ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points—the relevant market resolves to Yes. No other quarters or overall game results influence these outcomes. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect crowd-sourced probabilities rather than set operator margins. In this market, traders directly price their beliefs about the 3rd quarter spread outcome, which can lead to tighter or wider spreads depending on participant dynamics. Sportsbook odds include a built-in house edge and may adjust more conservatively. Comparing the two can reveal where public sentiment diverges from institutional lines.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics will determine the point spread for the third quarter, closing the market once the game concludes and results are widely reported.
Key performances by star players, injury updates, or weather conditions affecting the game could shift this market. Coaching strategies revealed in the days leading up to the match may also influence trader sentiment. As the game starts, early momentum swings in the first half can set expectations for the 3rd quarter, driving rapid price adjustments on Kalshi based on real-time developments.