TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 12:54 AM EST
Kalshi
An evening baseball contest will take place between two professional teams, with the possibility of extending beyond the standard game length. The game's duration may be prolonged if the match remains tied after the initial regulation time concludes. This extension, known as extra innings, will determine whether the game continues past its scheduled endpoint.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Cincinnati vs Los Angeles D professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 9, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective predictions of traders, aims to reflect the true probability of an event occurring. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts as new information and opinions are incorporated through trading activity. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access or varying levels of confidence in the outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether extra innings were played in the Cincinnati versus Los Angeles D game. Official game results, as reported by Major League Baseball, will serve as the basis for determining the winning contracts. The market will close and payouts will be calculated based on whether extra innings occurred or not, as officially recorded.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding potential pitching changes, weather forecasts impacting the game, or injuries to key players could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpectedly strong or weak performances by either team during the game itself would also likely cause significant price movements. Furthermore, general baseball news and analysis, as well as broader economic factors influencing betting behavior, could contribute to changes in volume and price leading up to the Sep 10, 2026 resolution of this market.