TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a football game, focusing specifically on how many times each team's defense can tackle the opposing team's quarterback behind the line of scrimmage. The outcome depends on whether predetermined thresholds of these tackles, known as sacks, are met by either team during the match.
The event resolves based on the total number of sacks recorded by each team in the Cincinnati vs Houston Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific sack threshold for either Cincinnati or Houston (ranging from 2 to 6 sacks). A market resolves to 'Yes' if the respective team achieves its designated threshold. Sacks recorded during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, betting remains open and resolves according to the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular result. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total number of team sacks. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on news, analysis, and their own predictions, which dynamically updates the market prices. This creates a real-time assessment of the likely outcome, distinct from static odds offered elsewhere.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team sack totals from the Cincinnati versus Houston game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL following the completion of the game. The market will then settle to 100 for the winning outcome, and 0 for all others. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Injury reports for key defensive players on either team would be significant, as would any changes to the opposing team's offensive line strategy. Weather conditions on game day could also play a role, potentially impacting passing or rushing attempts and, consequently, sack opportunities. Unexpected news regarding coaching decisions or team morale could also shift trader sentiment and move the odds. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.