TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 3:59 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks the number of receptions achieved by specific players in an upcoming football game between Cincinnati and Houston. Each market focuses on whether a player reaches a particular reception threshold, allowing participants to speculate on individual performance outcomes.
All markets resolve based on the official game statistics for receptions recorded by specified players in the Cincinnati vs Houston Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 20, 2026. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before kickoff. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves based on the actual number of receptions recorded during the game. Markets are independent and resolve to 'Yes' only if the specified player achieves the exact reception threshold stated in the market title. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Polls and analysts’ predictions often align more closely with prediction market prices than with initial sportsbook lines, as they also attempt to synthesize information from various sources. This dynamic can create opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different reception totals. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectation of how many receptions will occur. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are those who correctly anticipate market movements. The market depth shows the available liquidity at various price points, indicating how easily large orders can be filled. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism driven by participant beliefs.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final reception totals from the Cincinnati versus Houston game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NFL statistics will be used to determine the total number of receptions achieved by all players in the game. The market will then settle to reflect whether the actual number of receptions was above or below the contract’s specified level. All trading will cease once the official results are available and the outcome is determined.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that might favor a passing or running game, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected lineup changes or strategic adjustments announced by either coaching staff could also shift expectations. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could influence the price of contracts in this market.