TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the final quarter of an upcoming football game between Cincinnati and Houston. It specifically tracks performance during the last quarter of regulation time, excluding any overtime periods. The outcome depends solely on which team has the higher point total in that specific quarter.
If Houston wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Cincinnati vs Houston Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cincinnati wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Cincinnati vs Houston Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Cincinnati vs Houston Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and often incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it might indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent different forms of forecasting and can be influenced by various factors.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, if any, is winning at the end of the fourth quarter of the game between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Houston Texans. If the game ends in a tie during the fourth quarter, the market will resolve as ‘Will neither team win the 4th Quarter?’. The final result will be based on official game statistics and data.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the Bengals or the Texans would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in the perceived strength of each team based on recent performance or coaching decisions could also influence trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on game day, or even significant pre-game analysis from respected sports commentators, could all contribute to movement in this market. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning the fourth quarter has the potential to move the market.