TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 2:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting which Cincinnati player or unit will score the first touchdown in an upcoming football game against Houston. Each market corresponds to a specific player or defensive unit, with outcomes determined by who crosses the goal line first for Cincinnati.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified Cincinnati player or defensive unit scores the first touchdown of the game. If the designated player or unit is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a snap is taken—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market outcome depends solely on whether that player or unit scores the first touchdown. If Cincinnati fails to score any touchdowns during the game, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all other player-specific markets resolve to No. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for this event.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s readily available to sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading as new information emerges. It’s common to see prediction market prices move more quickly in response to breaking news or shifts in public perception than traditional sportsbook odds.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which player scored the first touchdown in the game between Cincinnati and Houston. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data, ensuring an objective and accurate determination of the outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the official statistics are released.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key offensive players on either team, particularly the expected starting quarterback or primary running back, would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if severe weather is predicted, could also influence the market, as they affect passing and running game strategies. Finally, any late-breaking news about team dynamics or coaching decisions could shift expectations and move prices in this market.