Cincinnati vs Chicago WS: Outs Recorded

Kalshi

The event evaluates two separate pitching performances in the Cincinnati vs. Chicago professional baseball game scheduled for August 11, 2026. For each pitcher—Nick Lodolo and Sean Burke—the market resolves to Yes only if the respective pitcher, as a starting pitcher, records at least the specified number of outs (15 for Lodolo, 18 for Burke) during the game. If either pitcher is not in the starting rotation or is scratched before throwing a pitch, the market resolves to the fair market price, meaning neither a definitive Yes nor No outcome is triggered purely based on their absence. Relief appearances, where a pitcher enters the game after not starting, also result in resolution at fair market price, as only starting pitcher performances count toward the outs requirement. The settlement hinges strictly on outs recorded by each starting pitcher once they have thrown at least one pitch; any change in starting status prior to that point nullifies the direct market outcome, redirecting it to fair value instead of a binary resolution.