TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 12, 10:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This event pertains to a professional baseball game between two teams scheduled for an evening in early August 2026. The specific condition of interest is whether the game will extend beyond the regular nine innings into extra innings. The outcome depends solely on the game's progression during its scheduled time.
If Cincinnati and Chicago WS go to extra innings in the Cincinnati vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 12, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook. Sportsbooks may set lines based on broader historical trends and broader public betting patterns, while prediction markets aggregate detailed, real-time trader sentiment. This can lead to tighter spreads or different implied probabilities, especially as game-specific developments unfold. Monitoring both can provide a fuller picture of shifting expectations.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the aggregate wisdom of participants. The market’s probability indicator adjusts based on buying and selling pressure, volume of $1,800, and any new information about the game that could influence the chance of extra innings. This dynamic pricing captures rapid shifts in trader confidence.
This market resolves around Aug 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result hinges on whether the game lasts longer than nine innings, and the platform will finalize the market based on official game records and widely accepted sports news sources.
Key signals that could shift this market include starting pitcher announcements, weather forecasts affecting game length, injury updates for key players, and any mid-game developments such as early blowouts that might influence managers’ strategies. Each of these can change traders’ expectations about the likelihood of extra innings, driving volume of $1,799 and moving the odds on Kalshi as new information emerges.