TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 11, 10:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This outcome is determined by whether the professional baseball contest between Cincinnati and Chicago White Sox, set for August 11, 2026, requires additional innings to produce a winner. The game goes to extra innings only if both teams are tied after the ninth inning, necessitating further play to break the deadlock.
If Cincinnati and Chicago WS go to extra innings in the Cincinnati vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 11, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, odds for the extra innings market reflect trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors like historical trends and public betting patterns, this market prices in real-time based purely on trader activity. The resulting probability can diverge noticeably from sportsbook odds, especially when trader sentiment emphasizes different variables. For example, if traders see a high probability of extra innings, this market might show a higher implied chance than sportsbook odds, reflecting a unique collective outlook.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price through buying and selling contracts, which determines the current probability displayed. The top outcome’s chance reflects the collective assessment of all participants at any given moment. Volume of $4,065 and recent 24-hour volume of $4,014 help gauge liquidity and trader interest. This dynamic pricing adjusts continuously as new information emerges, allowing rapid shifts in implied odds based on real-time sentiment.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. If the game goes beyond the scheduled nine innings, traders who held ‘Yes’ contracts will receive payment; otherwise, ‘No’ contracts pay out. The resolution follows standard verification procedures to ensure accuracy, aligning with official game results reported through trusted sports news outlets and league databases.
Injuries to key pitchers, weather delays, or changes to starting lineups could shift trader sentiment and move this market. High-profile performances or recent trends favoring extra innings may also influence odds. As the game approaches, any last-minute roster updates or umpires’ reports indicating potential for extended play can cause rapid adjustments. Traders will closely monitor pre-game analysis and lineup announcements for cues that affect the likelihood of extra frames.