TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 10:05 PM EST
Kalshi
Cincinnati and Charlotte clash in a high-stakes MLS encounter where a strong win could greatly enhance either team's season prospects. The game will be closely watched for tactical masterstrokes and key player performances that might define the match's outcome.
The market resolves based on the goal differential in the Cincinnati vs Charlotte MLS game scheduled for Sep 12, 2026. Four separate conditions are evaluated: Cincinnati winning by more than 2.5 goals, Cincinnati winning by more than 1.5 goals, Charlotte winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Charlotte winning by more than 2.5 goals. All outcomes are determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the MLS or ownership of league trademarks.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it might indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Cincinnati vs Charlotte game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect new information and changing expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more people believe Cincinnati will win by a certain margin, the price of contracts reflecting that outcome will increase, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Cincinnati vs Charlotte game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of the sport. The contracts will then pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by the contract purchased. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts on Kalshi following the game’s completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Cincinnati or Charlotte teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game’s conditions, could also affect trading activity. Additionally, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could lead to changes in the price as traders adjust their positions. Unexpected news related to team dynamics or coaching decisions could also play a role.