TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 8:18 PM EST
Kalshi
Cincinnati and Charlotte meet in MLS action on September 12, 2026, and the outcome depends on whether each side scores at least one goal within the normal match duration, excluding any additional periods such as extra time or penalty kicks.
If Cincinnati and Charlotte both score a goal in the Cincinnati vs Charlotte MLS match originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and public perception, while this market allows individuals to trade on their own beliefs, leading to potential discrepancies. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook underestimates the chance of both teams scoring, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. These differences can create arbitrage opportunities for informed traders, as the market adjusts to incorporate new information and diverse opinions about the game's outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Yes' or 'No' for both teams to score. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'Yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood of both teams scoring. Conversely, increased selling of 'Yes' contracts drives the price down. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both the Cincinnati and Charlotte teams score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams have scored, and this information will be verified against credible public sources. The final price on Kalshi at the time of resolution will determine the payout for traders holding contracts.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Cincinnati or Charlotte would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift trader sentiment. Additionally, any significant pre-match analysis from reputable soccer analysts predicting a high-scoring or low-scoring game could influence trading activity on Kalshi, as traders react to new information and adjust their expectations.