TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Cincinnati vs Arizona: Spread
kalshi

Cincinnati vs Arizona: Spread

Volume:
$497,763

Cincinnati wins by over 5.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Cincinnati wins by over 5.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Closed: Aug 22, 11:14 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cincinnati wins by over 5.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$51,902
N/A
N/A
$24,973
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cincinnati wins by over 3.5 runs

100%
86%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$41,889
N/A
N/A
$27,739
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cincinnati wins by over 2.5 runs

100%
81%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$32,629
N/A
N/A
$21,665
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cincinnati wins by over 4.5 runs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$27,389
N/A
N/A
$14,866
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cincinnati wins by over 1.5 runs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,210
N/A
N/A
$10,059
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arizona wins by over 1.5 runs

0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$246,240
N/A
N/A
$178,690
Settled
No
kalshi

Arizona wins by over 3.5 runs

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$29,947
N/A
N/A
$29,642
Settled
No
kalshi

Cincinnati wins by over 6.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,571
N/A
N/A
$16,036
Settled
No
kalshi

Arizona wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,569
N/A
N/A
$13,175
Settled
No
kalshi

Cincinnati wins by over 7.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,879
N/A
N/A
$4,090
Settled
No
kalshi

Cincinnati wins by over 8.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,539
N/A
N/A
$3,430
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming baseball game between Cincinnati and Arizona. Each market corresponds to a specific run differential threshold that determines the outcome. The collective markets provide a detailed view of potential score variations, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of different winning margins for either team.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the run differential by which either Cincinnati or Arizona wins the professional baseball game scheduled for August 22, 2026, at 8:10 PM EDT. If Arizona wins by exceeding specific run margins—over 1.5, 2.5, or 3.5 runs—the corresponding Arizona markets resolve to Yes. Similarly, if Cincinnati wins by margins greater than 1.5, 2.5, or 3.5 runs, the relevant Cincinnati markets resolve to Yes. All markets are independent, and only the specific threshold-based outcomes defined in each rule determine resolution. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.