TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 4:04 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-25 23:07 UTC: If the Cincinnati Reds win, the market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds". If the Toronto Blue Jays win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-25 23:07 UTC: If the Cincinnati Reds win, the market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds". If the Toronto Blue Jays win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, reflecting their profit margin, and may be influenced by public betting patterns. This market, however, is driven by individuals making predictions based on their own analysis. As a result, the odds here can sometimes be more reflective of true probabilities, though discrepancies can occur due to differing information and risk assessments. It’s useful to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of the traders regarding the probability of that outcome occurring. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities as conditions change leading up to the game.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cincinnati Reds versus Toronto Blue Jays game. Any official postponements or cancellations will be factored into the resolution process, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and settlement details on Opinion following the game’s completion.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or starting pitcher changes for either the Reds or the Blue Jays would likely cause shifts in the odds. Weather forecasts, particularly if they predict conditions that favor one team’s playing style, could also be a catalyst. Unexpected lineup announcements, late-breaking news about team morale, or even significant shifts in public perception based on pre-game analysis could all contribute to movement in this market before Sep 25, 2026.