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24H VOL:

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405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Cincinnati Reds vs. Toronto Blue Jays
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Cincinnati Reds vs Toronto Blue Jays?

Volume:
$1,743,625

Toronto

 - Kalshi

Toronto - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 26, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 9:56 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Toronto

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$703,329
N/A
N/A
$291,096
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cincinnati Reds vs. Toronto Blue Jays

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$157,461
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 55m
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,060
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,364
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,772
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$155
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cincinnati

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$761,781
N/A
N/A
$418,455
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55,901
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,262
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,652
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,580
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,614
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$539
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$71
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$69
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 55m
No
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Extra Innings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Cincinnati Reds O/U 1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cincinnati Reds O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 33

Intro

This market tracks the probability of the Cincinnati Reds leading by at least 1.5 runs after the first 5 innings of their game against the Toronto Blue Jays. Currently, the consensus probability across Kalshi and Polymarket is 100.0%. Resolution will be based on data from https://www.mlb.com/scores. Keep an eye on the game scheduled for September 26th, as this market will remain open until the game is completed or canceled, per Polymarket’s rules.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi references a game scheduled for September 25, 2026, while Polymarket refers to a game on September 26th. This represents a significant date mismatch.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket for markets related to the current game. Avoid Kalshi markets unless you are specifically interested in a game in 2026.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the September 26th game. Postponement keeps the market open; cancellation or tie resolves 50-50. "If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50."
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on a game originally scheduled for September 25, 2026. "If Cincinnati wins the Cincinnati vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for September 26 at 3:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

Resolution depends on the winning team of the specified professional baseball game. Markets stay open through postponements or delays if the game occurs within two days of the original date. Cancellations or reschedules beyond this period trigger fair price settlement. Kalshi emphasizes it is not officially affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain with their respective parties.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often reflect a more nuanced and aggregated view of potential outcomes than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their own risk and profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by the collective forecasts of informed traders. This can lead to differences in probabilities, especially as new information emerges. The volume on this market is currently $1,743,625, indicating the level of interest and trading activity. It's important to compare both to get a comprehensive understanding of expectations for the Reds-Blue Jays game.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi often arise due to variations in trader demographics, market-making activity, and differing fee structures. Polymarket may attract a different class of trader than Kalshi, leading to distinct interpretations of the same information regarding the Reds-Blue Jays game. Furthermore, the liquidity available on each platform can influence price discovery, and differing levels of participation can create temporary imbalances. These factors contribute to the observed price differences, even though both platforms are tracking the same underlying event.