TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 9:54 PM EST
Polymarket
This group covers markets on the MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and the Toronto Blue Jays on September 25th. Markets include which team will win the game and whether a run will be scored in the first inning.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for September 25 at 7:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for September 25 at 7:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Predict can arise from several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the volume traded on each platform may vary, leading to differing levels of price efficiency. Currently, Polymarket and Predict both offer insights into the likely outcome of the Reds-Blue Jays game, but their respective prices reflect the unique characteristics of their trading communities. These differences provide opportunities for arbitrage and highlight the diverse perspectives within the prediction market ecosystem.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Reds or the Blue Jays would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in starting pitchers, weather forecasts impacting the game, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could all affect the odds. Unexpected performance in preceding games by either team could also shift predictions. Monitoring sports news and analyzing team statistics will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move this market.