TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 29, 10:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the total runs scored in an MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers, specifically whether the combined score will exceed 10.5 runs. Across Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket, the consensus probability for the over outcome stands at 98.0%, according to MLB.com as the resolution source. Watch for the scheduled game time on July 9, 2026, which marks the event window during which the final run total will be determined and markets will settle.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for July 1 at 8:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This event resolves based on the outcome of the Cincinnati vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled entirely or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market resolves to a fair price determined in accordance with standard resolution procedures.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for June 29 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which naturally produces price variation. Polymarket and Kalshi may also have different user bases with distinct information access or risk tolerances. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these gaps, but temporary spreads persist due to withdrawal delays, platform-specific trading costs, and the time required to move capital between venues. Monitoring both platforms helps you spot mispricings and understand where the broader prediction market consensus truly lies.
Key catalysts include injury reports or roster changes affecting either team's starting lineup or bullpen strength. Weather conditions at game time—wind direction, temperature, and humidity—can significantly impact scoring. Recent team performance, head-to-head matchup history, and any late-breaking news about player availability will likely trigger repricing. Trading volume and sharp money flowing into one side can also shift odds as the game approaches, reflecting informed traders' final positioning before first pitch.