TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers
kalshi
predict
polymarket

Who will win Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers?

Volume:
$4,718,499

Milwaukee

 - Kalshi

Milwaukee - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

Closed: Jun 29, 10:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Milwaukee

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,250,900
N/A
N/A
$1,084,094
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$73,705
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$516
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$122
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$116
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cincinnati

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,194,328
N/A
N/A
$670,474
Settled
No
polymarket

Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$771,643
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers

N/A
N/A
—
$468
$1,834
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 8.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$345,323
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,739
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,046
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,160
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,222
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,293
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$737
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$612
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$281
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 11.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$230
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$147
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 12.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$128
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$81
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Extra Innings

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$73
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 26

Intro

This market tracks the total runs scored in an MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers, specifically whether the combined score will exceed 10.5 runs. Across Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket, the consensus probability for the over outcome stands at 98.0%, according to MLB.com as the resolution source. Watch for the scheduled game time on July 9, 2026, which marks the event window during which the final run total will be determined and markets will settle.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Game scheduling mismatch across platforms. Polymarket specifies July 1 at 8:10 PM ET, while Kalshi and Predict both specify June 29 at 7:40 PM ET. This creates ambiguity about whether markets reference the same game instance or different dates in a series.Hero tip: Cross-reference the official MLB.com schedule for Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers to determine the actual scheduled date. If markets reference different games, they will resolve independently based on the outcome of their respective scheduled game. Monitor for postponements or makeup games that could affect resolution timing.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Winner market scheduled for July 1 at 8:10 PM ET. Resolves to Cincinnati Reds or Milwaukee Brewers based on game outcome. If postponed, market remains open until completion. If canceled with no makeup or ends in tie, resolves 50-50. Primary source: official MLB final statistics or credible reporting consensus within 24 hours.
  • Kalshi: Winner market scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT. Market resolves to Yes if either Cincinnati or Milwaukee wins. Notably, this market structure (Yes for either outcome) differs from typical binary winner markets and appears to be a logical error or unusual market design.
  • Predict: Winner market scheduled for June 29 at 7:40 PM ET. Resolves to Cincinnati Reds or Milwaukee Brewers based on game outcome. If postponed, market remains open until completion. If canceled with no makeup or ends in tie, resolves 50-50. Primary source: official MLB final statistics or credible reporting consensus within 24 hours.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for July 1 at 8:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

This event resolves based on the outcome of the Cincinnati vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled entirely or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market resolves to a fair price determined in accordance with standard resolution procedures.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for June 29 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through real-money stakes. This market reflects what thousands of individual predictors believe will happen, often incorporating information faster than traditional oddsmakers. Comparing this market's odds to your preferred sportsbook can reveal where sharp traders see value or where consensus diverges from professional bookmakers.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which naturally produces price variation. Polymarket and Kalshi may also have different user bases with distinct information access or risk tolerances. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these gaps, but temporary spreads persist due to withdrawal delays, platform-specific trading costs, and the time required to move capital between venues. Monitoring both platforms helps you spot mispricings and understand where the broader prediction market consensus truly lies.

Key catalysts include injury reports or roster changes affecting either team's starting lineup or bullpen strength. Weather conditions at game time—wind direction, temperature, and humidity—can significantly impact scoring. Recent team performance, head-to-head matchup history, and any late-breaking news about player availability will likely trigger repricing. Trading volume and sharp money flowing into one side can also shift odds as the game approaches, reflecting informed traders' final positioning before first pitch.