TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Cincinnati
- Kalshi
Cincinnati - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 18, 2026
Closed: Jul 17, 11:14 PM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks the point spread outcome of an MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Colorado Rockies. Across Predict, Kalshi, and Polymarket, the consensus probability for Cincinnati Reds at -4.5 spread stands at 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by official MLB records. Watch for the game scheduled July 17, 2026 at 8:40 PM ET, as the outcome will settle all linked markets.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Kalshi's game winner market contains a logical contradiction: it specifies resolution to Yes for both Cincinnati winning AND Colorado winning, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a guaranteed-to-resolve-Yes outcome that violates binary market semantics.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi's Cincinnati vs Colorado winner market. The resolution logic is contradictory and unresolvable. Polymarket and Predict both offer identical, logically sound winner markets. For first-inning scoring, only Polymarket provides this market with clear, consistent logic.Critical divergence points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner market: resolves to Cincinnati Reds if Cincinnati wins, Colorado Rockies if Colorado wins. Tie/cancellation resolves 50-50. Source: MLB.com official statistics or credible consensus within 24 hours. Logic is sound and unambiguous.
- Predict: Identical to Polymarket: resolves to Cincinnati Reds if Cincinnati wins, Colorado Rockies if Colorado wins. Tie/cancellation resolves 50-50. Source: MLB.com official statistics or credible consensus within 24 hours. Logic is sound and unambiguous.
- Kalshi: CRITICAL FLAW: States 'If Cincinnati wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Colorado wins... resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility in a binary Yes/No market. No resolution path specified for tie or cancellation. Market is unresolvable.
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for July 17 at 8:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Kalshi
The Cincinnati vs Colorado professional baseball game is scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 8:40 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and resolve after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with Kalshi rules. The winning team's market resolves to Yes upon game completion.
Predict
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for July 17 at 8:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Frequently asked questions
Key catalysts include injury reports, lineup announcements, and recent team performance trends leading up to game day. Weather conditions at the stadium can significantly impact gameplay and scoring expectations. Betting action and sharp money movement on sportsbooks often precede prediction market shifts, so monitoring those lines provides early signals. Trades by experienced players on either platform can also trigger price momentum. Breaking news about player availability or coaching decisions in the final hours before the game typically generates the most volatile price swings in this market.
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