TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 20, 6:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Flavio Cobolli at the Cincinnati Open will last over or under 2.5 sets, and on Polymarket, the current probability for the leading outcome is 100%. The match result will be resolved using official data from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. The decisive catalyst to watch will be the match scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET, which will determine the final outcome.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Flavio Cobolli in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Flavio Cobolli. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if Flavio Cobolli advances against Tommy Paul. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official match conclusion, and contracts are settled automatically according to the verified winner. Timing aligns with the tournament schedule, ensuring a clear and timely close to trading activity.
Several key signals could shift this market before Aug 28, 2026. Player injuries, sudden form changes, or weather conditions affecting the match surface may cause rapid adjustments. Key moments like early breaks of serve or momentum swings in the first sets often influence trader sentiment. As the tournament progresses, updated expert analyses and live in-play dynamics could also reshape expectations. Any last-minute changes in seeding or scheduling, along with crowd support factors, might further impact pricing movements in the days leading to resolution.