TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Cincinnati Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniil Medvedev Set Handicap +/-1.5
- Polymarket
Cincinnati Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniil Medvedev Set Handicap +/-1.5 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 16, 2026
Closed: Aug 16, 1:27 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Daniil Medvedev in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Daniil Medvedev. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Marco Trungelliti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Daniil Medvedev in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Daniil Medvedev. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Marco Trungelliti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect sharper, crowd-sourced insights compared to traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks incorporate broader public betting patterns and house margins, prediction markets enable more granular, real-time adjustments based on trader activity. This can lead to noticeable differences in implied probabilities, especially as new information — like player form or injury updates — emerges. Tracking both sides offers a fuller picture of market expectations.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and once confirmed, all positions settle automatically based on the verified winner. Timing aligns closely with the tournament schedule, ensuring traders can anticipate when their positions will be finalized.
Injuries, weather delays, or strategic changes by either player could shift this market before Aug 22, 2026. Strong performance in practice sessions, recent form, or head-to-head history may also influence trader sentiment. Media coverage highlighting key stats or upsets in related matches might cause rapid price swings. As the event approaches, any update affecting the players’ readiness or odds will likely drive volatility in this market.