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24H VOL:
$103,397,351
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe Set Handicap +/-1.5
- Polymarket
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe Set Handicap +/-1.5 - Polymarket
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·
Resolved Aug 17, 2026
Closed: Aug 16, 11:55 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the likelihood that Frances Tiafoe will win the set by at least two games against Lorenzo Sonego in their Cincinnati Open match, with Tiafoe starting with a 1.5-game handicap. On Polymarket, Tiafoe (-1.5) currently holds a 100.0% probability according to data from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. The match is originally scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, serving as the key event to watch for resolution.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Sonego and Frances Tiafoe in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego' if Lorenzo Sonego advances against Frances Tiafoe. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Lorenzo Sonego. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official match outcome, and the platform will update the market accordingly. No further analysis or interpretation is needed — the winner is simply the player who claims victory on court, and that determines the final settlement for all participants.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves, including player injuries, recent form, or weather conditions affecting the match. Media coverage, expert predictions, and betting trends can also influence trader sentiment. Any last-minute changes — such as a surprise withdrawal or a dominant performance in practice — may cause rapid price adjustments. Keeping an eye on news and live updates will help you anticipate potential moves in this market as the event approaches.