TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 23.5
- Polymarket
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 23.5 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 22, 2026
Closed: Aug 21, 9:56 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the tennis match between Lorenzo Musetti and Frances Tiafoe at the Cincinnati Open will last more or less than 2.5 sets, and on Polymarket the outcome 'Over 2.5 sets' currently holds a probability of 100%. The match result will be resolved using official ATP Tour scoring data at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. The match is scheduled to conclude by August 28, 2026, and any updates to the playing schedule will be crucial for timing the resolution.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Musetti and Frances Tiafoe in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Frances Tiafoe. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Lorenzo Musetti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set the price through their bets, with the top outcome's chance displayed as a percentage. The current pricing reflects the collective wisdom of participants, adjusting to new data such as player form, weather conditions, or coaching strategies. As the match approaches, expect volatility in this market as more traders place bets based on updated insights and last-minute changes.
This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will update this market accordingly. Traders should monitor official tournament announcements and reputable sports news sources for confirmation as the event date nears.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves, including player injuries, changes in tournament seeding, weather forecasts affecting match conditions, and recent performance in lead-up events. Media commentary, expert predictions, and betting trends on Polymarket also influence trader sentiment. Any last-minute updates about player health or form are likely to cause noticeable movement in this market as the match approaches.