TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 2:35 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Blockx and Mariano Navone in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Blockx' if Alexander Blockx advances against Mariano Navone. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Alexander Blockx. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Blockx and Mariano Navone in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Blockx' if Alexander Blockx advances against Mariano Navone. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Alexander Blockx. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through continuous trading, where users buy and sell contracts representing either possible outcome. The current probability reflects the ratio of yes to no shares, with liquidity at a volume of $302,347 over the last 24 hours. Trader activity drives price shifts, particularly around news such as player injuries or recent match performance. As the Aug 22, 2026 approaches, tighter spreads may emerge, compressing the odds based on updated information and betting patterns.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will update the market accordingly based on widely accepted sources covering the tournament.
Several signals could shift probabilities in this market before Aug 22, 2026. Key matches involving either player, especially on harder courts, may reveal form advantages. Injuries, coaching changes, or sudden ranking movements often cause rapid re-pricing. Weather conditions at the tournament venue and any last-minute seeding adjustments could also influence trader sentiment. As the tournament progresses, each round outcome will provide fresh data, potentially widening or narrowing the gap between the two competitors in this market.