TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball matchup between Cincinnati Bearcats and TCU Horned Frogs scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets cover the moneyline winner, point spreads, and over/under totals for this game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (TCU win and Cincinnati win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure that prevents proper settlement.Hero Tip:
Treat the Kalshi market as unresolvable until corrected. The Polymarket contracts provide clear, mutually exclusive resolution paths. Request clarification from Kalshi that the Cincinnati win outcome should resolve to No, not Yes. Only trade Polymarket contracts for this event until Kalshi resolves the contradiction.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Moneyline market resolves to Cincinnati Bearcats if Cincinnati wins, or TCU Horned Frogs if TCU wins - mutually exclusive outcomes. Over/Under and Spread markets use final score including overtime. All markets remain open if postponed; resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Key Quote: If the Cincinnati Bearcats win, the market will resolve to Cincinnati Bearcats. If the TCU Horned Frogs win, the market will resolve to TCU Horned Frogs.Kalshi:
Market description specifies both TCU win and Cincinnati win resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. No specification of No resolution outcome or handling of postponement/cancellation. Key Quote: If TCU wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Cincinnati wins...then the market resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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