TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for the Cincinnati Bengals versus the Pittsburgh Steelers during the third quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to different point differentials that could determine the outcome, allowing participants to assess the potential dominance of either team within that specific quarter.
The markets resolve based on the point differential between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Pittsburgh Steelers exclusively during the third quarter of the game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning margin: for the Bengals to win by more than 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points, or for the Steelers to win by more than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points during that quarter. Only points scored in the third quarter count toward these outcomes. If the specified threshold is met or exceeded by the winning team, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, and the governing league’s official scoring will determine resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. You might find that this market's implied probabilities differ from those offered by sportsbooks, potentially revealing insights into where the crowd believes value lies. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies and information available to each.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Bengals-Steelers 3rd quarter. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with buyers driving the price up and sellers driving it down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants, constantly adjusting as new information becomes available. The current price indicates the probability that the spread will fall within the range represented by that contract.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the third quarter of the Bengals-Steelers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the league, and the contracts will pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range specified by each contract purchased. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Bengals or the Steelers would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or running game, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment and cause the price to move. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators can also play a role, even if indirectly.