TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:04 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate different thresholds of points scored by both teams combined during the second quarter of a specific football game. Each threshold represents a progressively higher point total that must be exceeded for the market to settle positively. Only points scored in the designated quarter are considered for resolution.
These markets assess whether the total points scored by both the Cincinnati Bengals and Pittsburgh Steelers during the second quarter of their scheduled game on September 27, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. Each market corresponds to a unique numerical threshold, and the outcome for each market is determined solely by whether the combined second-quarter scoring surpasses its respective threshold. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the second quarter of play, with no points from other quarters contributing to any market resolution. The markets are independent, meaning the outcome of one threshold does not affect the resolution of others—each is evaluated based strictly on its own point total requirement.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently in response to news and developments than traditional sportsbooks, though initial sportsbook odds can sometimes be a useful benchmark for comparison.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total points scored in the second quarter of the Bengals versus Steelers game will be used to determine whether the 'yes' or 'no' outcome prevails. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the source for the final point total, and the market will settle based on whether that total exceeds or falls below the predetermined threshold. The resolution will be publicly available on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries to starting quarterbacks, running backs, or wide receivers on either the Bengals or the Steelers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if conditions are expected to be unfavorable for passing or scoring, could also impact the market. Furthermore, in-game events during the first quarter, such as a quick scoring drive or a defensive turnover, could lead to adjustments in traders’ expectations and shift the price of this market.