TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 10:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Cienciano and Botafogo in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana tournament. The focus is on determining whether either team achieves a decisive victory margin, defined by specific goal differences. The result is based solely on the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates various margin-of-victory scenarios in the Cienciano vs Botafogo match scheduled for August 13, 2026, within the CONMEBOL Sudamericana tournament. Four distinct outcome conditions are defined, each corresponding to a different goal differential threshold for either team. A 'Yes' resolution occurs if Cienciano wins by more than 2.5 goals, Cienciano wins by more than 1.5 goals, Botafogo wins by more than 1.5 goals, or Botafogo wins by more than 2.5 goals—all measured after the standard 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with extra time and penalty phases explicitly excluded from consideration. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all referenced trademarks remain the property of their respective rights holders.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbook lines. On Kalshi, traders are pricing in their own expectations of the match outcome, which can diverge from bookmaker odds based on sharp analysis or unique insights. This market may show tighter spreads or different implied probabilities, offering an alternative view of the game’s expected margin.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through trader submissions and continuous bidding. The current odds represent the collective wisdom of participants, adjusting dynamically as new information emerges. Volume of $38,895 and recent 24-hour volume of $38,819 reflect how actively the market is trading, with prices shifting based on bets placed.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions, or shifts in team form could move this market. Media reports, coaching strategies, and betting trends may also influence trader sentiment. As the match nears, any new information that changes expectations for the margin of victory is likely to cause price adjustments on Kalshi.