TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 7:34 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both the Chunichi Dragons and the Yomiuri Giants in their college baseball game. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the anticipated scoring level of the match.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total runs scored by both teams in the Chunichi Dragons versus Yomiuri Giants college baseball game scheduled for September 18, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined runs exceed its respective threshold—5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is assessed separately. The game in question is the one originally scheduled for the specified date and time. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own analysis and information. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook line is inaccurate, the odds here will adjust accordingly, potentially offering value for informed bettors. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public perception shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total runs scored will be over or under 7.5. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively representing the probability of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will converge towards what the market believes is the true probability. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total runs scored in the Chunichi Dragons versus Yomiuri Giants game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine whether the total runs exceed 7.5 or not. The resolution will be based on the official game result, and any protests or appeals must be resolved before the outcome is finalized. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Chunichi Dragons or the Yomiuri Giants would likely cause movement. Weather conditions at the game location are also significant, as rain delays or strong winds can impact scoring. Furthermore, late-breaking reports on pitching matchups or team strategies could shift market sentiment. Finally, general public perception and any shifts in betting patterns at sportsbooks could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.