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$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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Chunichi Dragons vs. Yomiuri Giants
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Chunichi Dragons vs. Yomiuri Giants?

Volume:
$568,516

Yomiuri Giants

 - Kalshi

Yomiuri Giants - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 9, 2026

Closed: Jul 5, 3:24 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yomiuri Giants

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$365,967
N/A
N/A
$263,655
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chunichi Dragons vs. Yomiuri Giants

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
$939
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chunichi Dragons

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$201,610
N/A
N/A
$124,442
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a single NPB (Nippon Professional Baseball) game between the Chunichi Dragons and Yomiuri Giants. The markets are designed to resolve based on the outcome of the game, with specific handling for postponements, cancellations, and ties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both Dragons win and Giants win resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Additionally, the scheduled dates differ between platforms (July 3 vs July 5, 2026).Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi until the resolution logic is corrected. The market as written cannot distinguish between the two possible outcomes. Polymarket's logic is sound and resolvable.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary outcome market with clear resolution: Dragons win = 'Chunichi Dragons', Giants win = 'Yomiuri Giants'. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation/tie = 50-50 split. Scheduled July 3, 5:00 AM ET. Source: https://npb.jp/
  • Kalshi: Logical contradiction: Both 'If Chunichi Dragons wins' and 'If Yomiuri Giants wins' are stated to resolve to Yes. This makes the market unable to differentiate outcomes. Scheduled July 5, 2026 at 12:30 AM EDT.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 3 at 5:00AM ET: If the Chunichi Dragons win, the market will resolve to "Chunichi Dragons". If the Yomiuri Giants win, the market will resolve to "Yomiuri Giants". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Yomiuri Giants vs Chunichi Dragons NPB game originally scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 12:30 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, the market resolves to a fair price per official rules. In the event of a tie, the market resolves 50/50.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market prices for the Chunichi Dragons vs. Yomiuri Giants matchup across Polymarket and Kalshi, two major platforms where traders forecast the game outcome. You can monitor real-time consensus odds, historical price movements, and trading volume across both venues. The cross-platform view reveals how different trader bases value each team's chances, helping you spot pricing inefficiencies or shifts in market sentiment as game day approaches. Tracking both platforms simultaneously gives you a complete picture of where smart money is positioned.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus to discover true probabilities. This market's odds reflect what thousands of independent traders believe will happen, often incorporating nuanced information faster than sportsbooks adjust their lines. Comparing this market's implied odds to your preferred sportsbook can reveal value opportunities, especially if one venue has slower-moving prices or different risk assessments.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different odds for the same game due to variations in user base composition, liquidity depth, and fee structures. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Traders on one platform may have different information access, risk tolerances, or time horizons than those on the other, creating temporary mispricings. Liquidity also matters: a platform with lower volume may show wider bid-ask spreads and less efficient price discovery. Arbitrage traders often exploit these gaps, gradually pushing prices toward equilibrium, but windows of divergence can persist if one platform attracts more casual or sophisticated participants.